The Chart du Jour

Cisco Saps

April 17, 2000

By, Barclay T. Leib

The average commentary you will hear after a fall like Friday's is that short term swings have nothing to do with long term prospects. Most recommend not to panic, but to hold on for the long term.

Ironically, while that is often sage advice, in the current instance it is the exact opposite of what people should be doing. One is likely to make a bit of money buying for a quick flip (if one must to satisfy some unfortunate bottom-picking compulsion), but on an intermediate basis, heading out of stocks is most clearly the correct strategy.

Nowhere is this perhaps more clear than in the hourly and daily charts of Cisco pictured below. In the short term, a bounce to 59 is possible, but a gap on the daily chart down at 38 looks like an appropriate downside target in the days and weeks to come as all the froth of recent months is retraced (something typical when extended 5th waves occur).


Chart produced using Advanced GET End-of-Day

Listening too much to the popular press is clearly not good for one's economic health, so if you must watch CNBC, keep the mute button clicked on.

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