The Chart du Jour
Think that Sandspring.com has been relatively quiet of late? You haven't seen any vociferous bearish perspectives on our pages?
Well that is certainly the case - we are in limbo. Unlike most who consider the long term fundamentals of the U.S. economy to be sound, while just the short term picture is a little more indefinite and shaky, we think quite the opposite. The long term picture to us is clearly one of gross equity overvaluation that will lead to a protracted period of disappointing equity returns -- perhaps for over a decade. It is just that the short term technical picture that is not all that bad. We still dislike the Nasdaq, but can make a positive case for the NYA. Perhaps the most clean and interesting looking technical pattern continues to be the series of inside months on the Value Line Index. Watch for a break of this four month "coiling" pattern to signal our next intermediate trend. Until we get such a resolution, a bit of patience is necessary. We're certainly not missing much sticking to the sidelines.
As one small comment while waiting for further clarification of the short term technical picture, we have published some stories of indiser trading machinations -- past and present -- that have occured in some of the ever-so-popular high tech stocks of the past year. This article is entitled "When Insiders Rule" and is available in the subscriber-only section of Sandspring.com. (Non-subscribers - see purchase terms below). We have also now released to the public the text of "A Certain Fixation," a previous missive written at the height of the early March equity madness. Please enjoy it by clicking here.
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